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Popular Hashtags
- The user awarded the Top Analyst title at the end of each month will receive 10 M-Coins. Users in the second and third place will also be rewarded with 5 M-Coins each.
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TOP ANALYSTS
| 353 | 4 | 5 | |
| 331 | 8 | 9 | |
| 284 | 5 | 4 | |
| 305 | 4 | 6 | |
| 122 | 2 | 3 |
TOP 5 Charts
| 554 | 1 | ||
| 221 | 0 | ||
| 1168 | 0 | ||
| 259 | 2 | ||
| 310 | 0 |
*Top analysts/charts are computed weekly based on rolling 30-day metrics
Popular Charts
▌Indicator Overview
The OECD Composite Leading Indicator (CLI) combines 10 metrics that measure overall economic conditions, including average weekly working hours, new orders, consumer expectations, housing permits, stock prices, and interest rate s
S&P 500 Forward PE Ratio & Z- Score and 1, -1 Std. Dev
25 Year: 1 Std. Dev 20.04, -1 Std. Dev 13.45, Average 16.75
The AAII Asset Allocation Survey is a monthly survey conducted by the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII). The results is published on the first day of each month, reflecting the asset allocation of individual investors last month.
Leading Indicators vs. S&P500 YoY%
Here's how the three types of indicators relate to different stages of business cycles:
1. Growth phase: employment improves and income increases. Coincident indicators also rise gradually.
2. Boom phase: as
Steel margins is based on Chinese HRC, iron ore, scrap, and coke prices which used to track US steel company index. Not any more!. Trump's import tariffs probably kept US steel prices and margins above the rest of the world?
Credit spread is the extra interest borrowers with riskier credit pay compared to a safe investment like government bonds. Think of it as a "fear tax": the riskier the borrower, the higher the spread.
Widening credit spread means investors worry abo
US High Yield Bond TR / 20+ Government Bond TR Ratio reach a new high.
The US Credit Spread includes US AAA Credit Spread, US BBB Credit Spread, and US CCC Credit Spread. As an example, the US CCC Credit Spread is calculated as follows:
US CCC Credit Spread = Merrill Lynch CCC-grade High-Yield Bond Yield - US 10-Year
looks like U.S. is going to start another new cycle of car with this low inventory just like 2010
US Yield Curves Leading vs JOTLS Total Nonfarm Inv
The time frame that tends to show the most correlation between the U.S. dollar YoY % change and the U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI typically lies in the range of a 4 to 6-month lead by the U.S. dollar.Why 4 to 6 Months?Trade Lag: Changes in the U.S. doll
US 10 year - 2 Year Yield Curve tends to lead PMI by 9-12 months.
● 9-10 months: Strongest correlation.
● 10-11 months: Second strongest.
● 11-12 months: Strong correlation, but generally the weakest among the three, as the economic effects start to
US ISM PMI New Orders 2 Month Lead vs ISM PMI
▌Indicator Overview
Compiled by MacroMicro, the MM Manufacturing Cycle Index integrates global data related to manufacturing, retail, transportation, and trade. This index is used to define the following 4 phases of the manufacturing cycle:
Phase 1
