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Save Proportion of Countries with Rising Benchmark Interest Rates

Listed are the main emerging economies, including Taiwan, South Korea, Thailand, the Philippines, Malaysia, India, Indonesia, Vietnam, Brazil, Mexico, Chile, Argentina, Colombia, South Africa, Russia and Turkey.

Central banks with stable financial structure (eg. Taiwan and South Korea) tend to raise interest rates when the economy overheats and to lower interest rates when the economy declines, while economies with feeble financial structure are greatly affected by fluctuations in foreign investment, so the Central banks tend to raise interest rates in times of crises for fear of foreign investment fleeing the country, debt level surging and hyperinflation, as seen in 2008, 2011, 2014, 2016 and 2018.

However, most emerging markets have lowered interest rates in 2020 as a result of the pandemic, after gradually deregulating capitals throughout the past years, increasing credits, and experiencing a wave of rate hikes in 2018, except for Argentina and Turkey whose monetary policy details remain undisclosed.

*Stable financial structure features sufficient foreign reserves, current account surplus, and a low foreign debt to GDP ratio. Feeble financial structure is the opposite.

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Emerging Market: GDP & Trade Balance

Turkey Trade Balance

2022-05
-10,604.7m

Emerging economies with stable economic growth and trade balance are more resllient. More

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Emerging Market: CPI & Rates

Turkey Infaltion Rate

2022-06
78.6%

Imported inflation caused by appreciation of the US dollar lays pressure on the Central banks in the EM. More

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Emerging Market: Debt

Turkey Gross External Debt GDP%

2020
60.5%

Current account balance, foreign reserves and foreign debts are important indicators for EM's risk level. More

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Emerging Market: Population

China Total Population

2022
1,448,471.4k

Most emerging countries thrive on demographic dividend. More

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Emerging Market: PMI

Brazil Manufacture PMI

2022-05
54.2

PMI and NMI reflect the manufacturing/non-manufacturing activities. More

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