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S&P 500/MSCI Emerging Markets Index 20 Month Lead vs US AAII Retail Investor Asset Allocation Survey - Stocks
According to MacroMicro statistics, the US dollar is higher than the 50-day moving average and the 200-day moving average against 35 major currencies. When the ratio is higher, it means that the US dollar is stronger relative to other currencies. On
US ISM Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) vs US Net Percentage of Domestic Banks Tightening Standards for Commercial and Industrial Loans 1 Quarter Forward Inverted to:
-Small Firms
-Large & Middle-Market Firms
US Effective Federal Funds Rate (EFFR) minus 10 & 2Y Treasury Yield
Every time curves uninvert, it takes about 7 to 8 months, on average, for the Fed to start cutting rates. The two longest periods are 17 and 18 monhths and the shortest ones 2 a
US 5 Year Credit Default Swaps (CDS) vs CBOE Volatility Index (VIX)