1)台灣經濟主要靠外銷拉動，所以台灣的經濟會因為大國(美國、中國...)的內需增長或放緩，有很明顯的週期性。
2)台股也是跟台灣的景氣連動，每次景氣對策訊號由高點往下時，往後的6個月-12個月就會出現台股的高點，台股趨勢就會反轉向下。
3)2021年11月和12月景氣對策信號已經從紅燈變成黃紅燈，大概率會繼續往下，而高點是出現在2021年5月，算一算到2022年2月也有9個月了。
4)近期如果不是台灣官股護盤，台股應該已經大跌一段了。
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