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US 2020 General Election ×

Save US 2020 Presidential Election: National Polls

The yellow bars are the gap between Biden and Trump's poll result. The higher the yellow bar reaches, the more favored Biden is.

General Election is on November 3rd, 2020. Everyone gets a vote. On December 14th, electoral colleges will cast their vote to the state's preferred candidate.

Source: www.realclearpolitics.com

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Latest Stats
  • Donald Trump (L)
    2020-11-03
    44.00%
  • Joe Biden (L)
    2020-11-03
    51.20%
  • Biden - Trump (R)
    0.00
Source
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Save US 2020 Presidential Election: Swing State Polls

Swing states, where either Democrats or Republicans could win, include Florida, Ohio, Iowa, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. This chart shows the gap between Biden and Trump. Over 0 means Biden leads, and below 0 means Trump leads.

Almost every President in history has won Ohio and Florida, so these two states are highly representative.
*JFK lost both Ohio and Florida in 1960
*Clinton lost Florida in 1992

Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin are known as the "Rust Belt". Rust Belt used to be "Steel Belt" before 1980. The Democrats have taken these three states for more than 20 years until Trump won the Rust Belt in 2016. Voters here are composed mostly of white, middle- to advanced-aged blue-collar workers, who are highly against globalization and free trade.

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Latest Stats
  • Biden - Trump: Florida
    0.00
  • Biden - Trump: Ohio
    0.00
  • Biden - Trump: Iowa
    0.00
  • Biden - Trump: Pennsylvania
    0.00
  • Biden - Trump: Michigan
    0.00
  • Biden - Trump: Wisconsin
    0.00
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Save US 2020 Presidential Election: Blue States

The West coast, and New England are mostly the "blue states". This chart shows the gap between Biden and Trump. Over 0 means Biden leads, and below 0 means Trump leads.

Source: FiveThirtyEight.com

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  • Biden - Trump: California
    0.00
  • Biden - Trump: New York
    0.00
  • Biden - Trump: New Jersey
    0.00
  • Biden - Trump: Washington
    0.00
  • Biden - Trump: Massachusetts
    0.00
  • Biden - Trump: Minnesota
    0.00
  • Biden - Trump: Virginia
    0.00
  • Biden - Trump: Colorado
    0.00
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Save US 2020 Presidential Election: Red States

The south and mid-west are mostly the "red states". This chart shows the gap between Trump and Biden. Over 0 means Trump leads, and below 0 means Biden leads.

Source: FiveThirtyEight.com

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Latest Stats
  • Trump - Biden: Texas
    0.00
  • Trump - Biden: Georgia
    0.00
  • Trump - Biden: Arizona
    0.00
  • Trump - Biden: Tennesse
    0.00
  • Trump - Biden: Missouri
    0.00
  • Trump - Biden: North Carolina
    0.00
  • Trump - Biden: Indiana
    0.00
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Save President Trump Job Approval vs. Disapproval

Gallup Poll's job approval is a key indicator for the election. Trump's approval has been well under 50% since he took office in 2016.

Those whose approval were over 50% and got re-elected: Obama, Clinton, Reagan, Nixon, Johnson, and Eisenhower
Those under 50% and weren't re-elected: George H. W. Bush and Carter
Those between 40% and 50%: Truman, Ford, and George W. Bush

Source: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/

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Latest Stats
  • President Trump Job Approval
    2021-01-17
    39.70%
  • President Trump Job Disapproval
    2021-01-17
    57.30%
Source
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Save Trump Job Approval vs. Disapproval on Economy

During Trump's first term, unemployment rate reached record low, inflation grew by 1 to 2 % year-on-year, economic growth kept a stable pace, and the stock market hit multiple highs. But since the coronavirus outbreak this year, Trump's job approval on the economy has been dropping.

Source: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/

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Latest Stats
  • Trump Job Approval on Economy
    2021-01-17
    52.40%
  • Trump Job Disapproval on Economy
    2021-01-17
    43.70%
Source
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Save US 2020 Senate Election: Betting Odds for Republicans

The Iowa Electronic Markets is a futures market run for research and teaching purposes by Iowa Tippie business college. The price of a contract at any given time is a forecast of the outcome. The higher it gets, the more people bet it'd happen. The following contracts expire on December 4th.

1. The Republican wins more than 53 seats
2. The Republican wins more than 50, but no more than 53 seats, or 50 seats with Vice Presidency
3. The Republican holds less than 50 seats, or 50 seats without Vice Presidency

There are 100 seats in the Senate. It's the Vice President's constitutional duty to participate in voting when it's a tie.

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Latest Stats
  • 2020 Senate: Republicans > 53
    2020-12-29
    0.00
  • 2020 Senate: 53 >= Republicans > 50
    2020-12-29
    0.70
  • 2020 Senate: Republicans =< 50
    2020-12-29
    0.30
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Save US 2020 House Election: Betting Odds for Democrats

The Iowa Electronic Markets is a futures market run for research and teaching purposes by Iowa Tippie business college. The price of a contract at any given time is a forecast of the outcome. The higher it gets, the more people bet it'd happen. The following contracts expire on December 4th.

1. The Democrat wins more than 235 seats
2. The Democrat wins more than 217, but no more than 235 seats
3. The Democrat holds 217 seats or less

The betting odds for a Democrat majority in the House of Representatives are high.

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Latest Stats
  • 2020 House of Representatives: Democrats > 235
    2020-11-11
    0.00
  • 2020 House Representatives: 235 >= Democrats > 217
    2020-11-11
    0.99
  • 2020 House of Representatives: Democrats =< 217
    2020-11-11
    0.00
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