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S&P 500 Earnings Yield & Equity Risk Premium (w/US 10 Year & 3 Month Treasury Yield)
US Fed Excess Reserves of Depository Institutions 13 Month Lead vs US Dollar
Compared with the spread between 10-year and 2-year bonds, the yield spread between 10-year and 3-month bonds can better reflect changes in policy interest rates. The 10Y/3M yield spread is used by the Federal Reserve in recent years as an indicator
Based on the model proposed by the European Central Bank (ECB) in 2019, MacroMicro uses real money supply (M1) and the yield spread between long-term and short-term German bonds to calculate the probability of an economic recession in the Eurozone us
Credit tends to lead stocks.
US S&P 500 - Total Return Index [log] vs US BofAML High Yield Total Return Index Value/BofAML Corp AAA Total Return Index Value
US ISM PMI vs US 30 Year Mortgage Rates Average 18M Fwd Inverted
