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The cyclically adjusted price-earnings ratio, or CAPE ratio, proposed by Dr. Robert Shiller, a Nobel prize laureate in Economics in 2013, reflects the real P/E ratio of a stock.
CAPE Ratio = Share Price / 10-Year Average Inflation-Adjusted Earnings
觀察10Y-2Y利差 VS 10Y-3M利差表現與景氣衰退的關係
US M2 Money Supply (M2) (YoY) 18 Month Lead vs US Nominal GDP (SAAR, YoY)