Executive Summary:

Saturday night, American bombers obliterated three key nuclear sites in Iran. We think Iran won’t retaliate and will sue for peace. … Meanwhile in the US, foreign tourists might not be crowding the airports as usual. If Trump’s America First blustering is keeping them away, don’t worry about the impact on US GDP—it would be too small to drag down the overall economy. … Dr Ed reviews the recent economic data releases, concluding that the resilient US economy is running neither too hot nor too cold. … The Fed made the right decision last week not to ease interest rates, in our opinion. But one FOMC participant and apparent Trump loyalist begs to differ. … Check out the accompanying chart collection.

Heatwave I: Back from Spain

My wife and I were on vacation in Spain during the past couple of weeks. We decided to avoid flying out of Newark because of all the delays at that airport. So we flew from LaGuardia to Dulles to Heathrow to Gibraltar. Then we drove to Malaga on the Costa Brava and Alicante on the Costa Blanca. Both are beautiful Spanish

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